Walking in London

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$167.47
258 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $150.72 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.17%
70 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
40.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
58 openings · below min
30 days
70 openings · below min
since tracking started
70 openings · below min
85.0%107.0%129.0%

Small sample. 70 openings and 21.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d58108.15%±20.1—odds
30d70104.17%±18.3—odds
All70104.17%±18.3—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 116 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Flip Knifeknife · covert10.0%$331 509 gems22.0%1311.61.12×
★ Stiletto Knifeknife · covert10.0%$319 491 gems21.2%1111.60.95×
★ Classic Knifeknife · covert10.0%$257 395 gems17.0%1411.61.21×
★ Ursus Knifeknife · covert10.0%$231 356 gems15.4%911.60.78×
★ Survival Knifeknife · Immortal10.0%$188 289 gems12.5%1611.61.38×
★ Huntsman Knifeknife · covert10.0%$179 276 gems11.9%1311.61.12×
Sticker | I Conqueredsticker · milspec40.0%$0.42 0.65 gems0.1%4046.40.86×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | I Conqueredsticker · milspec$167258 gems$0.420.65 gems0.00x
Sticker | I Conqueredsticker · milspec$167258 gems$0.420.65 gems0.00x
★ Survival Knifeknife · Immortal$167258 gems$188289 gems1.12x
★ Survival Knifeknife · Immortal$167258 gems$188289 gems1.12x
★ Classic Knifeknife · covert$167258 gems$257395 gems1.53x
★ Classic Knifeknife · covertDartt$167258 gems$257395 gems1.53x
★ Classic Knifeknife · covert$167258 gems$257395 gems1.53x
★ Stiletto Knifeknife · covert$167258 gems$319491 gems1.90x
★ Survival Knifeknife · Immortal$167258 gems$188289 gems1.12x
★ Classic Knifeknife · covert$167258 gems$257395 gems1.53x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$16790.00%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 50.0%Immortal 10.0%milspec 40.0%best hit —