Wallhacks
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.95
6.08 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $3.56 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.98%
8,621 openings, odds method
Variance
142.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,769 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $2,081 3,201 gems | 29.3% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $72.99 112 gems | 20.5% | 92 | 87.7 | 1.05× |
| Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | London 2018sticker · #d2d2d2 | 1 in 33 | $19.17 29.49 gems | 16.2% | 262 | 263.1 | 1.00× |
| FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $6.62 10.19 gems | 9.3% | 482 | 438.5 | 1.10× |
| P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $6.17 9.49 gems | 8.7% | 427 | 438.5 | 0.97× |
| AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $5.52 8.49 gems | 7.8% | 405 | 438.5 | 0.92× |
| FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink | 10.0% | $1.28 1.97 gems | 3.6% | 860 | 876.9 | 0.98× |
| P250 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $0.44 0.68 gems | 2.5% | 1,754 | 1753.8 | 1.00× |
| Negev | Wall Bang (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d9 | 25.0% | $0.17 0.26 gems | 1.2% | 2,249 | 2192.3 | 1.03× |
| Sticker | Wallbangsticker · Sticker | 25.9% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 1.0% | 2,237 | 2275.6 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $3.95 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.1%#d2d2d2 3.0%restricted 25.0%Mythical 5.0%pink 10.0%#5e98d9 25.0%Sticker 25.9%best hit $2,081 (526.6x)