We Should Save
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.79
8.9 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $5.20 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.22%
3,160 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,213 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tec-9 | Terrace (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $70.40 108 gems | 13.5% | 27 | 32.1 | 0.84× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $49.93 76.81 gems | 19.2% | 69 | 64.3 | 1.07× |
| P250 | Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $27.16 41.78 gems | 15.7% | 85 | 96.4 | 0.88× |
| Five-SeveN | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 25 | $19.37 29.8 gems | 14.9% | 104 | 128.5 | 0.81× |
| Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $11.42 17.57 gems | 11.0% | 174 | 160.6 | 1.08× |
| CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b | 15.0% | $5.77 8.87 gems | 16.6% | 481 | 481.9 | 1.00× |
| Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $1.46 2.25 gems | 4.2% | 511 | 481.9 | 1.06× |
| USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $0.90 1.38 gems | 2.6% | 482 | 481.9 | 1.00× |
| P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink | 15.0% | $0.62 0.96 gems | 1.8% | 460 | 481.9 | 0.95× |
| R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3 | 25.0% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.6% | 820 | 803.3 | 1.02× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.79 | 89.97% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 25.0%mil spec 5.0%covert 2.0%classified 3.0%Restricted 5.0%#eb4b4b 15.0%restricted 30.0%pink 15.0%best hit —