when-it-pours

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.51
2.32 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
123.32%
1,444 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
123.32%±63.451,444 openings
30 days
123.32%±63.451,444 openings
since tracking started
123.32%±63.451,444 openings
59.0%123.3%187.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,444123.32%±63.5—sample
30d1,444123.32%±63.5—sample
All1,444123.32%±63.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014sticker · high$1.512.32 gems$458705 gems304.0x
Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014sticker · high$1.512.32 gems$458705 gems304.0x
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1.512.32 gems$129198 gems85.24x

Latest dropsnewest first

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.512.32 gems$2.984.58 gems1.97x
Sticker | Dirty Moneysticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.290.44 gems0.19x
Sticker | Dirty Moneysticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.290.44 gems0.19x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High GradeGrandWizard:T$$1.512.32 gems$0.160.24 gems0.10x
Sticker | Dirty Moneysticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.290.44 gems0.19x
Sticker | Dirty Moneysticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.290.44 gems0.19x
Sticker | Drug War Veteransticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.771.18 gems0.51x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.160.24 gems0.10x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1.512.32 gems$0.160.24 gems0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $458 (304.0x)