White Diamond

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$36.25

55.77 gems

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $32.62 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

99.03%

291 openings, odds method

Variance

2.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

24.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

66.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

19 openings · below min

7 days

104.27%±18.63248 openings

30 days

99.03%±17.20291 openings

since tracking started

99.03%±17.20291 openings

12.5%80.5%148.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	19	80.39%±67.3	—	odds
7d	248	104.27%±18.6	+1.5σ	odds
30d	291	99.03%±17.2	+1.0σ	odds
All	291	99.03%±17.2	+1.0σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 349 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$603 928 gems	9.2%	3	1.7	1.72×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 100	$278 427 gems	8.5%	2	3.5	0.57×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 100	$199 306 gems	6.1%	4	3.5	1.15×
USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$134 207 gems	4.1%	1	3.5	0.29×
Sticker \| G2 Esports (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017sticker · Legendary	1 in 33	$73.50 113 gems	6.8%	16	10.5	1.53×
Sticker \| kennyS (Foil) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Remarkable	1 in 13	$51.55 79.31 gems	11.9%	36	26.2	1.38×
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare	10.0%	$40.33 62.04 gems	12.4%	37	34.9	1.06×
MP7 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	10.0%	$37.54 57.75 gems	11.5%	36	34.9	1.03×
P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	15.0%	$24.65 37.92 gems	11.3%	53	52.4	1.01×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	20.0%	$18.53 28.5 gems	11.4%	66	69.8	0.95×
MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)weapon · restricted	31.0%	$7.22 11.11 gems	6.9%	95	108.2	0.88×

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$36.2555.77 gems$603928 gems16.65x2d

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryMi-No-Taur$36.2555.77 gems$603928 gems16.65x2d

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$36.2555.77 gems$603928 gems16.65x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$36.2555.77 gems$40.3362.04 gems1.11x56m

MP7 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$36.2555.77 gems$37.5457.75 gems1.04x56m

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$36.2555.77 gems$18.5328.5 gems0.51x56m

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendaryhttps://kick.com/waxumfriendly$36.2555.77 gems$18.5328.5 gems0.51x56m

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$36.2555.77 gems$18.5328.5 gems0.51x15h

MP7 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$36.2555.77 gems$37.5457.75 gems1.04x15h

Sticker | G2 Esports (Foil) | Atlanta 2017sticker · Legendary$36.2555.77 gems$73.50113 gems2.03x15h

P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$36.2555.77 gems$24.6537.92 gems0.68x15h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC	$36.25	90.00%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.5%#eb4b4b 1.0%covert knife 1.0%classified 1.0%Legendary 23.0%Remarkable 7.5%rare 10.0%mil spec 25.0%restricted 31.0%best hit $603 (16.65x)