Whiteout
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$60.09
92.44 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $54.08 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.83%
203 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 209 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny | 1 in 20 | $616 947 gems | 56.9% | 6 | 10.4 | 0.57× |
| MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $275 423 gems | 25.4% | 14 | 10.4 | 1.34× |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $75.50 116 gems | 7.0% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× |
| P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $71.42 110 gems | 6.6% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× |
| MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $5.56 8.55 gems | 1.5% | 22 | 31.3 | 0.70× |
| Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $5.02 7.73 gems | 1.4% | 34 | 31.3 | 1.08× |
| PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $3.59 5.52 gems | 1.0% | 31 | 31.3 | 0.99× |
| Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $0.25 0.39 gems | 0.1% | 29 | 31.3 | 0.93× |
| MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $0.10 0.16 gems | 0.0% | 55 | 41.8 | 1.32× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New)weapon · mil speconKick - The_Facel3ss$60.0992.44 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $60.09 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 5.0%mil spec 30.0%classified 5.0%restricted 30.0%Consumer Grade 15.0%industrial 15.0%best hit $616 (10.25x)