WOOOOO
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$228.24
351 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $205.41 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
113.11%
42 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 42 openings and 10.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 25.0% | $475 731 gems | 57.8% | 15 | 10.5 | 1.43× |
| ★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 25.0% | $324 499 gems | 39.5% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $73.72 113 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New)weapon · violet | 1 in 100 | $42.62 65.57 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| SCAR-20 | Palm (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon | 1 in 11 | $27.95 43 gems | 1.2% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 13.0% | $12.42 19.11 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 5.5 | 0.18× |
| MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 13.0% | $1.85 2.85 gems | 0.1% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× |
| XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 13.0% | $0.44 0.67 gems | 0.0% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.10× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $228 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 25.0%covert 26.0%violet 1.0%Uncommon 9.0%mil spec 13.0%restricted 13.0%Rare 13.0%best hit —