Yolk Zone
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$32.90
50.61 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $29.60 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.54%
1,946 openings, odds method
Variance
6.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 89.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (90.37% – 112.72%, 1,946 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,972 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covertRicky#HESDEAD$32.9050.61 gems$7561,163 gems22.98x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert⛧THRASHER ⛧$32.9050.61 gems$7561,163 gems22.98x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$32.9050.61 gems$4.106.31 gems0.12x
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$32.9050.61 gems$7.5411.6 gems0.23x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$32.9050.61 gems$4.106.31 gems0.12x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$32.9050.61 gems$4.106.31 gems0.12x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$32.9050.61 gems$4.106.31 gems0.12x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.90 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 28.5%extraordinary 0.5%exotic 22.0%#d32ee6 3.0%#8847ff 11.0%uncommon 15.0%classified 20.0%best hit $756 (22.98x)