Young Hustler
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$26.71
41.09 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $24.04 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.33%
503 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 507 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 20 | $141 216 gems | 29.3% | 28 | 25.4 | 1.10× |
| M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $103 159 gems | 21.5% | 37 | 25.4 | 1.46× |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 20 | $73.66 113 gems | 15.3% | 15 | 25.4 | 0.59× |
| AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert | 1 in 20 | $43.36 66.7 gems | 9.0% | 26 | 25.4 | 1.03× |
| AWP | Green Energy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ce6 | 10.0% | $23.24 35.76 gems | 9.7% | 43 | 50.7 | 0.85× |
| P90 | Attack Vector (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon | 10.0% | $10.78 16.59 gems | 4.5% | 65 | 50.7 | 1.28× |
| CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 20.0% | $6.39 9.83 gems | 5.3% | 89 | 101.4 | 0.88× |
| UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink | 20.0% | $4.26 6.56 gems | 3.5% | 101 | 101.4 | 1.00× |
| Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn)weapon · pink | 20.0% | $2.26 3.47 gems | 1.9% | 103 | 101.4 | 1.02× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkLiborosak$26.7141.09 gems$2.263.47 gems0.08x
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covertKick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards$26.7141.09 gems$103159 gems3.87x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $26.71 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 5.0%covert 10.0%Covert 5.0%#d32ce6 10.0%uncommon 10.0%classified 20.0%pink 40.0%best hit —