ZarlezaR Habibi

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.23
18.81 gems
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $11.00 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.95%
6,468 openings, odds method
Variance
19.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96.84%±29.66832 openings
7 days
92.73%±11.515,519 openings
30 days
92.95%±10.646,468 openings
since tracking started
92.95%±10.646,468 openings
66.5%96.8%127.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h83296.84%±29.7+0.5σodds
7d5,51992.73%±11.5+0.5σodds
30d6,46892.95%±10.6+0.6σodds
All6,46892.95%±10.6+0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,580 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Crown (Foil)sticker · exotic1 in 100$444 684 gems40.4%7165.81.08×
AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 100$273 419 gems24.8%7465.81.12×
SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 50$81.33 125 gems14.8%112131.60.85×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 33$61.60 94.77 gems16.8%187197.40.95×
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 33$11.61 17.86 gems3.2%178197.40.90×
P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer45.0%<$0.01 0.01 gems0.0%3,0512961.01.03×
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer45.0%<$0.01 0.01 gems0.0%2,9072961.00.98×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerBooty Shaker$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.2318.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$12.2389.96%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedexotic 1.0%covert 4.0%#d32ee6 2.0%mil spec 3.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —