Goat

A case on CSBattle, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$26.20
40.61 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
571.75%
6 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
6 openings · below min
since tracking started
6 openings · below min
-0.5%845.8%1692.0%

Small sample. 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6571.75%±1119.4—sample
7d6571.75%±1119.4—sample
30d6571.75%±1119.4—sample
All6571.75%±1119.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$8981,392 CSBATTLE_COIN34.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Phoenixgraffiti · Rare$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$8981,392 CSBATTLE_COIN34.27x
Sealed Graffiti | Phoenixgraffiti · Rare$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Phoenixgraffiti · Rare$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Phoenixgraffiti · Rare$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Phoenixgraffiti · Rare=D$26.2040.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $898 (34.27x)