Freezing Cold
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$129.03
200 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
109.34%
121 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 121 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,3615,210 CSBATTLE_COIN26.05x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,3615,210 CSBATTLE_COIN26.05x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7762,753 CSBATTLE_COIN13.76x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2841,991 CSBATTLE_COIN9.95x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classifiedMUNKHOLM$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$9161,419 CSBATTLE_COIN7.10x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$520805 CSBATTLE_COIN4.03x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$298462 CSBATTLE_COIN2.31x
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$16.7025.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exoticHydrarewards.com$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.9518.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.09x
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$16.7025.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN$16.7025.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,361 (26.05x)