Thunder

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.23
5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.15%
380 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
285 openings · below min
30 days
380 openings · below min
since tracking started
380 openings · below min
75.5%92.8%110.0%

Small sample. 380 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d28592.73%±16.7—sample
30d38092.15%±14.2—sample
All38092.15%±14.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.661.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.21x
Sticker | Tornado Chaos (Foil)sticker · exotic$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.577.09 CSBATTLE_COIN1.42x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil specKakamees @bandit$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.402.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
StatTrak™ Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.415.29 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
Sticker | Tornado Chaos (Foil)sticker · exotic$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.577.09 CSBATTLE_COIN1.42x
StatTrak™ Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.415.29 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil specMallebrush$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.402.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.402.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.402.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.402.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —