Cold Night

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.65
16.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
74.58%
242 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
178 openings · below min
30 days
242 openings · below min
since tracking started
242 openings · below min
48.0%87.5%127.0%

Small sample. 242 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1887.68%±38.8—sample
7d17876.94%±14.6—sample
30d24274.58%±12.0—sample
All24274.58%±12.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.832.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.568.62 CSBATTLE_COIN0.52x
Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial GradeSwitchhhSTL$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.3814.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.88x
Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.3814.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.88x
Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.3814.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.88x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.832.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.832.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.6516.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.832.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —