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Arid

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.90
20 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
114.90%
506 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
32 openings · below min
7 days
324 openings · below min
30 days
506 openings · below min
since tracking started
506 openings · below min
-0.5%140.8%282.0%

Small sample. 506 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h32130.69%±150.6—sample
7d324114.72%±69.0—sample
30d506114.90%±47.4—sample
All506114.90%±47.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covertCommitSudoku$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$9941,540 CSBATTLE_COIN77.00x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$9941,540 CSBATTLE_COIN77.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Heavy$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.440.68 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
MP7 | Scorched (Factory New)weapon · SMGs$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.157.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x
StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Heavy$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.440.68 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
MP7 | Scorched (Factory New)weapon · SMGsCodeJumpshot$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.157.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$54.7484.84 CSBATTLE_COIN4.24x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$315488 CSBATTLE_COIN24.42x
StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Heavy$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.440.68 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · HeavyCodeJumpshot$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.440.68 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Heavy$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.440.68 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Souvenir FAMAS | Colony (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$12.9020 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.4617.77 CSBATTLE_COIN0.89x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $994 (77.00x)