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M4 Squad

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.19
22 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.84%
2,099 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
322 openings · below min
7 days
100.28%±13.701,783 openings
30 days
94.84%±11.912,099 openings
since tracking started
94.84%±11.912,099 openings
75.5%108.3%141.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h322108.23%±32.2—sample
7d1,783100.28%±13.7—sample
30d2,09994.84%±11.9—sample
All2,09994.84%±11.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classifiedAwesome$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$6811,056 CSBATTLE_COIN47.99x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$6811,056 CSBATTLE_COIN47.99x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$538834 CSBATTLE_COIN37.92x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.834.39 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.642.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covertKickDegendoc$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$34.7853.91 CSBATTLE_COIN2.45x
M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pink$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.2011.16 CSBATTLE_COIN0.51x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.834.39 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkKickDegendoc$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.2011.16 CSBATTLE_COIN0.51x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.642.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.7621.33 CSBATTLE_COIN0.97x
M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkKickDegendoc$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.2011.16 CSBATTLE_COIN0.51x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$14.1922 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.834.39 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $681 (47.99x)