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Blue Lagoon

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.61
18 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
115.95%
419 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
14 openings · below min
7 days
335 openings · below min
30 days
419 openings · below min
since tracking started
419 openings · below min
32.5%100.0%167.5%

Small sample. 419 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1455.09%±22.1—sample
7d335112.39%±54.4—sample
30d419115.95%±47.0—sample
All419115.95%±47.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$8961,389 CSBATTLE_COIN77.14x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.154.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.27x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.5710.19 CSBATTLE_COIN0.57x
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.154.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.27x
Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.312.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.312.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedCumconnoiseur$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.5710.19 CSBATTLE_COIN0.57x
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.154.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.27x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3419.13 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3419.13 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil specChit <3$11.6118 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.312.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $896 (77.14x)