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Purple Swag

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.35
30 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.93%
427 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
200 openings · below min
30 days
427 openings · below min
since tracking started
427 openings · below min
53.5%113.0%172.5%

Small sample. 427 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6112.90%±59.0—sample
7d20098.19%±30.8—sample
30d42790.93%±17.6—sample
All42790.93%±17.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$506785 CSBATTLE_COIN26.16x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested)weapon · violet$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.2937.65 CSBATTLE_COIN1.26x
Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested)weapon · violet$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.2937.65 CSBATTLE_COIN1.26x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$8.7013.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.45x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.362.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | Swag (Foil)sticker · Exotic$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.2356.16 CSBATTLE_COIN1.87x
Sticker | Swag (Foil)sticker · ExoticICG Shabba$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.2356.16 CSBATTLE_COIN1.87x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.6324.22 CSBATTLE_COIN0.81x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$8.7013.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.45x
Sticker | Swag (Foil)sticker · Exotic$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.2356.16 CSBATTLE_COIN1.87x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$19.3530 CSBATTLE_COIN$8.7013.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.45x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $506 (26.16x)