Lucky Flip

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$774.19
1,200 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
58.80%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%53.8%108.0%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h631.04%±59.9—sample
7d631.04%±59.9—sample
30d1258.80%±48.8—sample
All1258.80%±48.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4232,205 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3422,079 CSBATTLE_COIN1.73x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3342,067 CSBATTLE_COIN1.72x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3342,067 CSBATTLE_COIN1.72x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.865.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.865.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.865.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4232,205 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.865.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic0.72 r$7741,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.865.99 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,423 (1.84x)