Dreamer

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$645.16
1,000 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
61.55%
50 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
44 openings · below min
30 days
50 openings · below min
since tracking started
50 openings · below min
-0.5%125.0%250.5%

Small sample. 50 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12100.39%±149.6—sample
7d4465.26%±44.3—sample
30d5061.55%±39.1—sample
All5061.55%±39.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,6704,138 CSBATTLE_COIN4.14x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified0.72 r$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified0.72 r$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN1.06x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$365566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.57x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$78.65122 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New)weapon · classified$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$365566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.57x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,048 (9.37x)