Donked

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$838.71
1,300 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
67.15%
36 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
36 openings · below min
since tracking started
36 openings · below min
33.0%73.8%114.5%

Small sample. 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1860.94%±25.3—sample
7d2473.65%±40.1—sample
30d3667.15%±29.1—sample
All3667.15%±29.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,0396,261 CSBATTLE_COIN4.82x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert0.72 r$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9753,061 CSBATTLE_COIN2.35x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert★Rogerfg104★$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9753,061 CSBATTLE_COIN2.35x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert★Rogerfg104★$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$601931 CSBATTLE_COIN0.72x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$601931 CSBATTLE_COIN0.72x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$601931 CSBATTLE_COIN0.72x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$351543 CSBATTLE_COIN0.42x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$230356 CSBATTLE_COIN0.27x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$300465 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$300465 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$300465 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert0.72 r$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9753,061 CSBATTLE_COIN2.35x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$601931 CSBATTLE_COIN0.72x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8391,300 CSBATTLE_COIN$9201,426 CSBATTLE_COIN1.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,039 (4.82x)