Nemesis

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$903.23
1,400 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
124.14%
18 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
61.0%121.5%182.0%

Small sample. 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6118.32%±56.5—sample
7d6118.32%±56.5—sample
30d18124.14%±57.0—sample
All18124.14%±57.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,0157,774 CSBATTLE_COIN5.55x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9953,092 CSBATTLE_COIN2.21x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4782,290 CSBATTLE_COIN1.64x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4002,170 CSBATTLE_COIN1.55x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4002,170 CSBATTLE_COIN1.55x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4002,170 CSBATTLE_COIN1.55x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified0.72 r$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$181280 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4002,170 CSBATTLE_COIN1.55x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9953,092 CSBATTLE_COIN2.21x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$550853 CSBATTLE_COIN0.61x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified0.72 r$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1431,772 CSBATTLE_COIN1.27x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,015 (5.55x)