5% BANG

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$39.17
60.72 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.63%
114 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
114 openings · below min
30 days
114 openings · below min
since tracking started
114 openings · below min
8.5%70.5%132.5%

Small sample. 114 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d11470.63%±61.3—sample
30d11470.63%±61.3—sample
All11470.63%±61.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$6971,080 CSBATTLE_COIN17.79x
★ Karambit | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covertMARCEL$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$570884 CSBATTLE_COIN14.56x
★ Karambit | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$570884 CSBATTLE_COIN14.56x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · GraffitiMARCEL$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Uh Oh (Tiger Orange)graffiti · Graffiti$39.1760.72 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $792 (20.21x)