Vanilla

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$393.55
610 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.34%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
59.5%102.0%144.5%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d30101.32%±41.3—sample
30d42107.34%±36.3—sample
All42107.34%±36.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4352,225 CSBATTLE_COIN3.65x
★ Butterfly Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4352,225 CSBATTLE_COIN3.65x
★ Butterfly Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4352,225 CSBATTLE_COIN3.65x
★ Butterfly Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4352,225 CSBATTLE_COIN3.65x
★ Karambitknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x
★ Karambitknife · covertHydrarewards.com$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x
★ Karambitknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x
★ Karambitknife · covertHydrarewards.com$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x
★ Karambitknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Karambitknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1891,843 CSBATTLE_COIN3.02x
★ Butterfly Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4352,225 CSBATTLE_COIN3.65x
★ Bayonetknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$300465 CSBATTLE_COIN0.76x
★ Huntsman Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$142221 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
★ Ursus Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$154238 CSBATTLE_COIN0.39x
★ Survival Knifeknife · ImmortalHydrarewards.com$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$117181 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
★ Navaja Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$85.80133 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Huntsman Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$142221 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
★ Navaja Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$85.80133 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Huntsman Knifeknife · covert$394610 CSBATTLE_COIN$142221 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,435 (3.65x)