Hazard

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$339.27
526 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.24%
162 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
84 openings · below min
30 days
162 openings · below min
since tracking started
162 openings · below min
-0.5%93.0%186.5%

Small sample. 162 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2476.30%±109.4—sample
7d84112.10%±68.2—sample
30d16281.24%±42.3—sample
All16281.24%±42.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4982,322 CSBATTLE_COIN4.41x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4982,322 CSBATTLE_COIN4.41x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4982,322 CSBATTLE_COIN4.41x

Latest dropsnewest first

Souvenir MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.376.78 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Souvenir Galil AR | CAUTION! (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.6016.43 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.376.78 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4982,322 CSBATTLE_COIN4.41x
Souvenir Galil AR | CAUTION! (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.6016.43 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertHydrarewards.com$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$32.3450.13 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3766,783 CSBATTLE_COIN12.90x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$32.3450.13 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$32.3450.13 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$339526 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.376.78 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,376 (12.90x)