Cyber Burn

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.42
27 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
106.52%
838 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
110 openings · below min
7 days
557 openings · below min
30 days
838 openings · below min
since tracking started
838 openings · below min
-0.5%233.8%468.0%

Small sample. 838 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h110192.29%±275.3—sample
7d557114.08%±115.0—sample
30d838106.52%±84.9—sample
All838106.52%±84.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,8487,514 CSBATTLE_COIN278.3x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2121,879 CSBATTLE_COIN69.58x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · knifes$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0071,562 CSBATTLE_COIN57.83x
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$9091,409 CSBATTLE_COIN52.18x
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$9091,409 CSBATTLE_COIN52.18x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$6951,077 CSBATTLE_COIN39.90x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$6951,077 CSBATTLE_COIN39.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.540.83 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,848 (278.3x)