Spectrum

A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$109.03
169 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
131.08%
84 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
84 openings · below min
since tracking started
84 openings · below min
-0.5%130.3%261.0%

Small sample. 84 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d18124.63%±135.6—sample
30d84131.08%±83.9—sample
All84131.08%±83.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4793,842 CSBATTLE_COIN22.73x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3242,052 CSBATTLE_COIN12.14x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$524812 CSBATTLE_COIN4.81x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$524812 CSBATTLE_COIN4.81x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.508.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.05x
★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$42.9566.58 CSBATTLE_COIN0.39x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.2337.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$126196 CSBATTLE_COIN1.16x
★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$42.9566.58 CSBATTLE_COIN0.39x
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$126196 CSBATTLE_COIN1.16x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.8057.04 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.508.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.05x
USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$109169 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.2115.82 CSBATTLE_COIN0.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,479 (22.73x)