Phoenix

A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$111.74
173 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
145.13%
115 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
9 openings · below min
7 days
87 openings · below min
30 days
115 openings · below min
since tracking started
115 openings · below min
-0.5%151.3%303.0%

Small sample. 115 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h939.00%±52.1—sample
7d87138.17%±164.0—sample
30d115145.13%±143.7—sample
All115145.13%±143.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,8487,514 CSBATTLE_COIN43.38x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3186,692 CSBATTLE_COIN38.64x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN$60.8994.38 CSBATTLE_COIN0.54x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · Common$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · CommonDiesdas$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN$60.8994.38 CSBATTLE_COIN0.54x
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN$270419 CSBATTLE_COIN2.42x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · CommonDiesdas$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · Common$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · Common$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · CommonDiesdas$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Blood Red)graffiti · Common$112173 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,969 (62.36x)