Bonanza

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$528.19
819 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
111.90%
94 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
48 openings · below min
30 days
94 openings · below min
since tracking started
94 openings · below min
9.5%138.8%268.0%

Small sample. 94 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d48138.71%±128.5—sample
30d94111.90%±79.0—sample
All94111.90%±79.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.3K15,941 CSBATTLE_COIN19.47x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.3K15,941 CSBATTLE_COIN19.47x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.3K15,941 CSBATTLE_COIN19.47x
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,3909,904 CSBATTLE_COIN12.10x
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,3909,904 CSBATTLE_COIN12.10x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9514,574 CSBATTLE_COIN5.59x
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9683,051 CSBATTLE_COIN3.73x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8182,818 CSBATTLE_COIN3.44x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertMUNKHOLM$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8182,818 CSBATTLE_COIN3.44x

Latest dropsnewest first

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.3K15,941 CSBATTLE_COIN19.47x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$528819 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10.3K (19.47x)