Defuse
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.51
11.64 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.30%
470 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 470 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$465721 CSBATTLE_COIN61.93x
Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$465721 CSBATTLE_COIN61.93x
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)weapon · classified$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$409634 CSBATTLE_COIN54.45x
Latest dropsnewest first
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.08 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecNot Zero$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.08 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$7.5111.64 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.08 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $465 (61.93x)