Aqua Warrior

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$37.74
58.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
80.54%
174 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
108 openings · below min
30 days
174 openings · below min
since tracking started
174 openings · below min
5.5%94.0%182.5%

Small sample. 174 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3094.14%±87.8—sample
7d10867.27%±35.2—sample
30d17480.54%±32.9—sample
All17480.54%±32.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · SMGs$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.144.86 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.5219.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.33x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$110170 CSBATTLE_COIN2.91x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · SMGs$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.144.86 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$54.5284.51 CSBATTLE_COIN1.44x
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$185286 CSBATTLE_COIN4.90x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.306.67 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.5219.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.33x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · SMGs$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.144.86 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —