Obsidian

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$268.68
416 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.73%
59 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
41 openings · below min
30 days
59 openings · below min
since tracking started
59 openings · below min
76.5%86.8%97.0%

Small sample. 59 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1877.94%±0.00—sample
7d4186.27%±9.25—sample
30d5987.73%±8.38—sample
All5987.73%±8.38—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$269416 CSBATTLE_COIN$554858 CSBATTLE_COIN2.06x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$269416 CSBATTLE_COIN$523810 CSBATTLE_COIN1.95x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $584 (2.17x)