Dark Force

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$120.97
188 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.35%
218 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
72 openings · below min
7 days
180 openings · below min
30 days
218 openings · below min
since tracking started
218 openings · below min
62.0%131.8%201.5%

Small sample. 218 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h72131.85%±69.1—sample
7d180110.05%±31.7—sample
30d218107.35%±27.2—sample
All218107.35%±27.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,5163,900 CSBATTLE_COIN20.80x
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$9161,420 CSBATTLE_COIN7.57x
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$9161,420 CSBATTLE_COIN7.57x
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$9161,420 CSBATTLE_COIN7.57x
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$9161,420 CSBATTLE_COIN7.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.2354.6 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.2559.28 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.2559.28 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.2354.6 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.2354.6 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,5163,900 CSBATTLE_COIN20.80x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$121188 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.2354.6 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,516 (20.80x)