Black Ember

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$26.35
40.85 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.51%
341 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
245 openings · below min
30 days
341 openings · below min
since tracking started
341 openings · below min
25.5%75.3%125.0%

Small sample. 341 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3042.41%±16.2—sample
7d24587.01%±37.5—sample
30d34186.51%±28.5—sample
All34186.51%±28.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1591,796 CSBATTLE_COIN43.96x

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.066.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Covert$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$29.1345.15 CSBATTLE_COIN1.11x
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.066.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.6159.85 CSBATTLE_COIN1.47x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedFlockz$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7710.5 CSBATTLE_COIN0.26x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7710.5 CSBATTLE_COIN0.26x
Souvenir MP9 | Dark Age (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · SMGs$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.1020.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.50x
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.066.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Souvenir MP9 | Dark Age (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · SMGs$26.3540.85 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.1020.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.50x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,159 (43.96x)