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Frank's Farm$116162.8xBlackjack$4,8052.00xSugar Rush 1000$549308.0xWheel$3,8041.90xWanted Boosted$380270.6xClassic Always 6 Blackjack 6$1,6101.56xSweet Bonanza 2500$3,53223.52xStake Baccarat 1$4,3751.95xPlatinum Privé Blackjack 2$19K2.00xGates of Olympus Super Scatter$1,5161.26xBuffalo King$808260.2xWheel$1,5011.50xCase Battles$3,2404.10xGolden Wealth Baccarat$4,9991.67x100 Super Hot$2,252150.0xBlackjack$1,0001.43xWild Skullz$72.79160.1xBaccarat$50K2.00xMines$1,15212.38xChinese Baccarat$1,9021.81xHold the Phone$196326.9xTemplar Tumble$553110.6xWheel$2,0022.00xSweet Bonanza 2500$85.47171.9x

Circus

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$300.32
466 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
61.50%
18 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
-0.5%52.8%106.0%

Small sample. 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d651.96%±53.2—sample
30d1861.50%±36.5—sample
All1861.50%±36.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$7001,084 CSBATTLE_COIN2.33x
MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil specMUNKHOLM$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$573888 CSBATTLE_COIN1.91x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$518803 CSBATTLE_COIN1.72x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$518803 CSBATTLE_COIN1.72x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$518803 CSBATTLE_COIN1.72x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$252390 CSBATTLE_COIN0.84x
Sticker | Clown Nosesticker · #4b69ff$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.372.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Clown Nosesticker · #4b69ff$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.372.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$97.87152 CSBATTLE_COIN0.33x
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red=D$300466 CSBATTLE_COIN$65.81102 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $700 (2.33x)