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Dust2

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$202.58
314 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.03%
102 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
54 openings · below min
30 days
102 openings · below min
since tracking started
102 openings · below min
59.0%125.5%192.0%

Small sample. 102 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18128.87%±62.5—sample
7d54110.44%±48.9—sample
30d10292.03%±32.4—sample
All10292.03%±32.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0223,134 CSBATTLE_COIN9.98x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6262,520 CSBATTLE_COIN8.03x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4852,302 CSBATTLE_COIN7.33x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$9671,499 CSBATTLE_COIN4.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$9671,499 CSBATTLE_COIN4.77x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$6801,055 CSBATTLE_COIN3.36x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$467725 CSBATTLE_COIN2.31x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$9671,499 CSBATTLE_COIN4.77x
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$467725 CSBATTLE_COIN2.31x
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Well-Worn)weapon · Pistols$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.522.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$232359 CSBATTLE_COIN1.14x
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Well-Worn)weapon · PistolsHydrarewards.com$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.522.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$406630 CSBATTLE_COIN2.01x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.522.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)weapon · covert$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$244378 CSBATTLE_COIN1.20x
MP9 | Dry Season (Well-Worn)weapon · SMGs$203314 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.066.3 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,022 (9.98x)