Red Horizon

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.99
1.54 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.86%
5,879 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
510 openings · below min
7 days
105.37%±32.815,207 openings
30 days
97.86%±29.575,879 openings
since tracking started
97.86%±29.575,879 openings
-0.5%69.3%139.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h51033.62%±38.2—sample
7d5,207105.37%±32.8—sample
30d5,87997.86%±29.6—sample
All5,87997.86%±29.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$264409 CSBATTLE_COIN265.8x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$264409 CSBATTLE_COIN265.8x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$264409 CSBATTLE_COIN265.8x
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$218338 CSBATTLE_COIN219.6x
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covertVala$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$218338 CSBATTLE_COIN219.6x
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$218338 CSBATTLE_COIN219.6x
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$218338 CSBATTLE_COIN219.6x
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN130.0x
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$129200 CSBATTLE_COIN130.0x

Latest dropsnewest first

M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specaustinna$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN$00 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$0.991.54 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $264 (265.8x)