Waterlight

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$24.77
38.4 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
132.09%
347 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
33 openings · below min
7 days
233 openings · below min
30 days
347 openings · below min
since tracking started
347 openings · below min
-0.5%125.5%251.5%

Small sample. 347 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h330.63%±0.11—sample
7d23330.75%±59.0—sample
30d347132.09%±118.5—sample
All347132.09%±118.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9384,554 CSBATTLE_COIN118.6x
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · highcqrrxd$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9384,554 CSBATTLE_COIN118.6x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1813,381 CSBATTLE_COIN88.05x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7392,696 CSBATTLE_COIN70.20x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5082,337 CSBATTLE_COIN60.86x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Well-Worn)weapon · commonOGSQUATSQUAT$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.080.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Well-Worn)weapon · common$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.080.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetOGSQUATSQUAT$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Well-Worn)weapon · common$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.080.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$24.7738.4 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.230.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,938 (118.6x)