Dump it

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$177.52
275 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.73%
161 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
78 openings · below min
7 days
131 openings · below min
30 days
161 openings · below min
since tracking started
161 openings · below min
75.0%121.2%167.5%

Small sample. 161 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h78125.05%±41.8—sample
7d131103.36%±27.8—sample
30d161102.73%±23.9—sample
All161102.73%±23.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$6721,042 CSBATTLE_COIN3.79x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$6721,042 CSBATTLE_COIN3.79x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$544844 CSBATTLE_COIN3.07x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$533827 CSBATTLE_COIN3.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

Charm | Whittle Knifecharm · Rare$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.831.28 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Charm | Whittle Knifecharm · RareHydrarewards.com$178275 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.831.28 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,311 (13.02x)