Rise Or Fall
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5,806.45
9,000 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.71%
90 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$37.8K58,660 CSBATTLE_COIN6.52x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.9K23,098 CSBATTLE_COIN2.57x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.9K23,098 CSBATTLE_COIN2.57x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emeralddbpro313$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.5K20,886 CSBATTLE_COIN2.32x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald★Rogerfg104★$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.1K17,272 CSBATTLE_COIN1.92x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.1K17,272 CSBATTLE_COIN1.92x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.7K16,648 CSBATTLE_COIN1.85x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary★Rogerfg104★$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.7K16,648 CSBATTLE_COIN1.85x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.7K16,648 CSBATTLE_COIN1.85x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.7K16,648 CSBATTLE_COIN1.85x
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,50510,083 CSBATTLE_COIN1.12x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,04512,470 CSBATTLE_COIN1.39x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendaryRAITEKK$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6532,562 CSBATTLE_COIN0.28x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,04512,470 CSBATTLE_COIN1.39x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $37.8K (6.52x)