Hellboy

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$783.87
1,215 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.73%
58 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
58 openings · below min
since tracking started
58 openings · below min
2.5%46.3%90.0%

Small sample. 58 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h635.71%±32.7—sample
7d1832.48%±18.2—sample
30d5859.73%±29.7—sample
All5859.73%±29.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,3575,203 CSBATTLE_COIN4.28x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertTAPI-TAPI$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7272,677 CSBATTLE_COIN2.20x
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryTAPI-TAPI$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$9621,492 CSBATTLE_COIN1.23x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,231 CSBATTLE_COIN1.01x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,231 CSBATTLE_COIN1.01x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7091,099 CSBATTLE_COIN0.90x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7091,099 CSBATTLE_COIN0.90x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7091,099 CSBATTLE_COIN0.90x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7091,099 CSBATTLE_COIN0.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Tyloo | Boston 2018graffiti · Graffiti$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$6461,001 CSBATTLE_COIN0.82x
Sealed Graffiti | Tyloo | Boston 2018graffiti · Graffiti$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Tyloo | Boston 2018graffiti · Graffiti$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$6461,001 CSBATTLE_COIN0.82x
Sealed Graffiti | Tyloo | Boston 2018graffiti · Graffiti$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.050.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$7841,215 CSBATTLE_COIN$7091,099 CSBATTLE_COIN0.90x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,898 (7.52x)