Waterfall

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,212.90
1,880 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
64.13%
116 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
60 openings · below min
30 days
116 openings · below min
since tracking started
116 openings · below min
29.0%67.0%105.0%

Small sample. 116 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d6066.98%±37.6—sample
30d11664.13%±24.7—sample
All11664.13%±24.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)gloves · #eb4b4blim jahey$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,72415,072 CSBATTLE_COIN8.02x
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,7785,856 CSBATTLE_COIN3.11x
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,7785,856 CSBATTLE_COIN3.11x
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,7785,856 CSBATTLE_COIN3.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$434672 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.7160 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.7160 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$421653 CSBATTLE_COIN0.35x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$434672 CSBATTLE_COIN0.36x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.7160 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$421653 CSBATTLE_COIN0.35x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$1,2131,880 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.7160 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,724 (8.02x)