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Ice Fall

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$53.87
83.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.59%
239 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
134 openings · below min
30 days
239 openings · below min
since tracking started
239 openings · below min
2.0%58.8%115.5%

Small sample. 239 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h183.38%±0.96—sample
7d13466.55%±39.7—sample
30d23983.59%±31.2—sample
All23983.59%±31.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1041,712 CSBATTLE_COIN20.50x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$6491,006 CSBATTLE_COIN12.05x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$6491,006 CSBATTLE_COIN12.05x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.064.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Sticker | Mahjong Zhongsticker · Sticker$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.500.78 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.064.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Souvenir MP9 | Storm (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.662.58 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Souvenir MP9 | Storm (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.662.58 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · MythicalGud$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.064.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.064.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Souvenir MP9 | Storm (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.662.58 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Mahjong Zhongsticker · Sticker$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.500.78 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical$53.8783.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.064.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,104 (20.50x)