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Lunar Ritual

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$72.90
113 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.04%
163 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
46 openings · below min
30 days
163 openings · below min
since tracking started
163 openings · below min
5.5%182.0%358.5%

Small sample. 163 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6181.86%±175.9—sample
7d46120.92%±57.0—sample
30d16381.04%±20.6—sample
All16381.04%±20.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$7731,198 CSBATTLE_COIN10.60x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$29.5145.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$80.77125 CSBATTLE_COIN1.11x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$452700 CSBATTLE_COIN6.19x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$80.77125 CSBATTLE_COIN1.11x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$29.5145.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryGud$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$123191 CSBATTLE_COIN1.69x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$73.59114 CSBATTLE_COIN1.01x
Patch | Shattered Webpatch · Rare$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Patch | Shattered Webpatch · Rare$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN<$0.010.01 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$72.90113 CSBATTLE_COIN$309479 CSBATTLE_COIN4.24x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $773 (10.60x)