Runner

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,125.81
1,745 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.41%
66 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
66 openings · below min
30 days
66 openings · below min
since tracking started
66 openings · below min
58.0%87.5%117.0%

Small sample. 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d6687.41%±29.0—sample
30d6687.41%±29.0—sample
All6687.41%±29.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,45210,000 CSBATTLE_COIN5.73x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,2539,692 CSBATTLE_COIN5.55x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4953,868 CSBATTLE_COIN2.22x
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2573,498 CSBATTLE_COIN2.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2573,498 CSBATTLE_COIN2.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2573,498 CSBATTLE_COIN2.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2573,498 CSBATTLE_COIN2.00x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1763,374 CSBATTLE_COIN1.93x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2573,498 CSBATTLE_COIN2.00x
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.5511.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.5511.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · coverthysty$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$41.1063.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1273,297 CSBATTLE_COIN1.89x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Knives$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8262,830 CSBATTLE_COIN1.62x
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.5511.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedhysty$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.0615.6 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$41.1063.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$1,1261,745 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3002,015 CSBATTLE_COIN1.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,452 (5.73x)