The Alien
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$37.74
58.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
55.64%
185 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 185 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Well-Worn)weapon · Heavy$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.171.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · Pistols$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.143.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · Pistols$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.143.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · Pistols$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.143.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Well-Worn)weapon · Heavy$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.171.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Souvenir Galil AR | Green Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Rifleskickpeekcs$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · Pistols$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.143.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Well-Worn)weapon · Heavy$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.171.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · Pistols$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.143.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Souvenir Galil AR | Green Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$37.7458.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit —