Gameday

A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,609.68
2,495 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
143.49%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
52.5%143.5%234.5%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d12143.49%±90.5—sample
30d12143.49%±90.5—sample
All12143.49%±90.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkablehysty$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,37914,537 CSBATTLE_COIN5.83x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,1904,945 CSBATTLE_COIN1.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9674,598 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restrictedhysty$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9674,598 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9674,598 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0723,212 CSBATTLE_COIN1.29x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0723,212 CSBATTLE_COIN1.29x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9503,023 CSBATTLE_COIN1.21x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$61.6595.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$61.6595.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0723,212 CSBATTLE_COIN1.29x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkablehysty$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,37914,537 CSBATTLE_COIN5.83x
SG 553 | Colony IV (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.1023.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9674,598 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0723,212 CSBATTLE_COIN1.29x
SG 553 | Colony IV (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedhysty$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.1023.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,1904,945 CSBATTLE_COIN1.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1,6102,495 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9674,598 CSBATTLE_COIN1.84x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,379 (5.83x)