Blackout

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$26.90

41.7 CSBATTLE_COIN

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

100.09%

657 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

75 openings · below min

7 days

543 openings · below min

30 days

657 openings · below min

since tracking started

657 openings · below min

9.5%79.8%150.0%

Small sample. 657 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	75	79.71%±69.6	—	sample
7d	543	99.93%±31.6	—	sample
30d	657	100.09%±27.9	—	sample
All	657	100.09%±27.9	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5972,475 CSBATTLE_COIN59.35x5d

Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$552856 CSBATTLE_COIN20.53x18h

Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$552856 CSBATTLE_COIN20.53x2d

Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$552856 CSBATTLE_COIN20.53x6d

Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$552856 CSBATTLE_COIN20.53x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.240.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · SMGs$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.250.39 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.532.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x2h

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.240.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.532.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x2h

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecGoofy$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.240.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.240.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · SMGs$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.250.39 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$26.9041.7 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.240.37 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,597 (59.35x)