Bomb Down

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$75.10
116 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.54%
106 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
16 openings · below min
30 days
106 openings · below min
since tracking started
106 openings · below min
15.0%72.5%130.0%

Small sample. 106 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1643.54%±28.0—sample
30d10693.54%±36.0—sample
All10693.54%±36.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir Tec-9 | Groundwater (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$9041,402 CSBATTLE_COIN12.04x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil specsnag$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$7341,137 CSBATTLE_COIN9.77x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$7341,137 CSBATTLE_COIN9.77x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Bomb Codesticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$16.4525.5 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Charm | Glitter Bombcharm · redSgt. McBlyat Blyat$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$62.9897.62 CSBATTLE_COIN0.84x
Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$75.47117 CSBATTLE_COIN1.00x
SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$111172 CSBATTLE_COIN1.48x
Sticker | Bomb Squad (Foil)sticker · High Grade$75.10116 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.340.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $904 (12.04x)