Fade Hunter

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.39
62.6 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.40%
330 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
56 openings · below min
7 days
248 openings · below min
30 days
330 openings · below min
since tracking started
330 openings · below min
2.0%86.8%171.5%

Small sample. 330 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5686.57%±84.1—sample
7d24897.09%±62.2—sample
30d330101.40%±50.1—sample
All330101.40%±50.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epiccode yosoykush 1k bi-weekly LB$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,3953,713 CSBATTLE_COIN59.31x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3792,138 CSBATTLE_COIN34.15x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0471,623 CSBATTLE_COIN25.92x
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$8281,284 CSBATTLE_COIN20.51x
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$8281,284 CSBATTLE_COIN20.51x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$176273 CSBATTLE_COIN4.36x
Sticker | Fade Lethalsticker · high$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.251.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Fade Mangossticker · Rare$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.380.59 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.303.56 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Sticker | Fade Mangossticker · Rare$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.380.59 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.303.56 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Sticker | Fade Lethalsticker · high$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.251.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Fade Lethalsticker · highben$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.251.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.3962.6 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.303.56 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,395 (59.31x)